Metrics for measuring the accuracy of statistical calculations

Metrics for measuring the accuracy of statistical calculations

Introduction to Statistics

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Metrics for Measuring Accuracy in Statistical Calculations

Now that we've dipped our toes into the world of statistics, let's explore how we can check if our calculations are as accurate as a Swiss watch, or as reliable as a Singaporean ERP system during peak hours - you know, consistency is key, hor? (Fun fact: ERP stands for Electronic Road Pricing, not Electronic Robotic Pals!)

Mean, Median, and Mode: The Holy Trinity of Central Tendency

Imagine you're at a hawker centre, trying to decide which stall has the most popular dish. In the Republic of Singapore's secondary-level learning scene, the transition from primary into secondary introduces pupils to increasingly conceptual maths principles like basic algebra, geometric shapes, and data management, that often prove challenging absent adequate support. A lot of families acknowledge that this transitional phase requires additional strengthening to help adolescents cope with the heightened demands while sustaining solid scholastic results in a competitive system. Building on the groundwork laid during PSLE preparation, targeted initiatives prove essential for addressing individual challenges and encouraging self-reliant reasoning. primary school maths tuition provides customized classes matching Ministry of Education curriculum, including dynamic aids, demonstrated problems, and practice challenges to make learning stimulating and impactful. Experienced tutors prioritize closing learning voids from primary levels and incorporating secondary-oriented techniques. Finally, this proactive help also improves grades and assessment competence but also develops a deeper appreciation for mathematics, equipping learners for achievement in O-Levels and beyond.. You could ask each stall for their sales figures, but that's a lot of walking, hor? Instead, you could ask for the mean, median, and mode of their sales.

  • Mean: The average, which you get by adding up all the sales and dividing by the number of stalls. It's like the overall temperature of the hawker centre - it gives you a general idea, but can be affected by extreme values, like a stall selling super-spicy laksa.
  • Median: The middle value when all the sales are lined up in order. It's like the stall right in the middle of the hawker centre - it might not be the most popular, but it's a good representation of the general trend.
  • Mode: The value that appears most frequently. In Singaporean demanding secondary education system, learners readying themselves for O-Level exams frequently encounter escalated challenges with math, including higher-level concepts such as trigonometric principles, fundamental calculus, plus geometry with coordinates, that demand strong conceptual grasp plus practical usage. Guardians often seek specialized assistance to make sure their teenagers can handle the syllabus demands while developing test assurance via focused exercises plus techniques. maths tuition classes offers essential reinforcement with MOE-aligned curricula, qualified instructors, and resources such as old question sets and mock tests to address individual weaknesses. The initiatives focus on issue-resolution strategies efficient timing, aiding students attain higher marks for O-Level results. Finally, putting resources into these programs not only prepares pupils for national exams while also establishes a strong base for post-secondary studies across STEM areas.. It's like the stall that everyone's raving about - it might not be the most representative, but it's definitely popular!

Range and Standard Deviation: The Wild Cards

Now, let's say you've found your favourite stall, but you want to know if their dishes are consistently good. That's where range and standard deviation come in.

The range is the difference between the highest and lowest sales. It's like the distance between the most popular and least popular stalls - a big range means there's a lot of variation.

The standard deviation, on the other hand, is a measure of how spread out the sales are. It's like the bumpy roads in Singapore - the more bumpy, the higher the standard deviation. But unlike our roads, a high standard deviation in sales is not a good thing!

Correlation: The Matchmaker of Statistics

Finally, let's talk about correlation. Imagine you're trying to find out if eating more chili crab makes people more likely to win at mahjong. The correlation coefficient, which ranges from -1 to 1, would tell you if there's a relationship between the two - but it doesn't tell you why. (Interesting fact: The game of mahjong originated in China, but it's now played all over the world, including Singapore!)"

So, secondary 2 students, are you ready to dive deeper into the world of statistics, armed with these newfound metrics? Remember, statistics is like a good curry puff - it might look simple, but there's a lot going on inside. Now go forth and make Singapore proud with your statistical prowess!

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Mean, Median, and Mode

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Welcome to the World of Numbers, Secondary 2 Style!

Imagine you're in a bustling Singapore hawker centre, like Tiong Bahru Market. You're not just there to eat, but to understand the heart of Singapore's secondary 2 math syllabus. Here, the dishes are numbers, and we're about to find their 'mean', 'median', and 'mode' - our central tendency measures.

What's Cooking in the Singapore Math Syllabus?

You've heard of the Ministry of Education (MOE) Singapore, right? They're like the chefs in this metaphorical hawker centre, cooking up the secondary 2 math syllabus. And today, we're diving into the world of statistics, specifically mean, median, and mode. So, grab your chopsticks and let's dig in!

In Singaporean structured post-primary schooling pathway, Sec 2 students begin tackling advanced mathematical topics such as quadratic equations, congruence, and statistical data handling, these build on Sec 1 foundations while readying ahead of advanced secondary needs. Parents commonly look for supplementary resources to enable their teens adjust to this increased complexity and maintain steady advancement amid school pressures. maths tuition near me delivers personalized , MOE-matched classes featuring experienced tutors that employ engaging resources, real-life examples, and focused drills to bolster grasp plus test strategies. The lessons encourage autonomous analytical skills and address unique difficulties like algebraic manipulation. Finally, such targeted support enhances comprehensive outcomes, minimizes anxiety, while establishing a strong trajectory for O-Level achievement plus long-term studies..

Mean: The Average Joe of Numbers

In simple terms, the mean is the average of a set of numbers. It's like the most common price you'd pay for a plate of Hainanese chicken rice - it's the central point that balances out all the prices around it.

Fun Fact: Did you know that the mean is also known as the arithmetic mean? It's like the math version of Singlish - straightforward and to the point!

Median: The Middle Child of Numbers

The median is the middle number in a sorted list. It's like the hawker who's neither the earliest bird nor the late-night owl - they're right smack in the middle. To find the median, you don't need to do any fancy calculations; just arrange your numbers and pick the one in the middle.

History Lesson: The median was first introduced by the Belgian mathematician Adolphe Quetelet in the 19th century. Imagine him, in his waistcoat and top hat, arranging numbers like he was lining up his students!

Mode: The Popular Kid of Numbers

The mode is the number that appears most frequently in a set. It's like the most popular dish at the hawker centre - the one with the longest queue. In a data set, it's the number that's 'trending', so to speak.

Interesting Fact: A data set can have one mode (unimodal), two modes (bimodal), or even more than two modes (multimodal). It's like having different popular dishes at different times of the day!

Why Bother with These Number Crunchers?

Now you might be thinking, "Why do I need to know all this? I just want to order my char kway teow and go home!" Well, understanding mean, median, and mode helps us make sense of the world. It's like understanding the prices at the hawker centre - you can't make an informed decision if you don't know the average, the middle price, or the most popular dish.

In the real world, these measures help us understand data, make decisions, and even spot trends. It's like having a secret weapon at the hawker centre - you can navigate the crowd, find the best prices, and always know where the longest queue is (even if you don't want to join it!)

So, the next time you're faced with a set of numbers, remember, you're not just crunching numbers - you're finding the mean, median, and mode. You're a number detective, and the Singapore math syllabus has just given you your first badge!

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Range, Variance, and Standard Deviation

Understanding Range

In the bustling Singapore education scene, especially in secondary 2 math, understanding the concept of 'range' is as crucial as knowing the MRT routes to reach your favourite hawker centre. In the city-state of Singapore, the educational system wraps up primary schooling with a national examination designed to measure learners' academic achievements and determines their secondary school pathways. Such assessment occurs annually to candidates at the end of elementary schooling, emphasizing core disciplines for assessing general competence. The PSLE acts as a reference point in determining entry into appropriate high school streams depending on scores. It encompasses disciplines such as English Language, Maths, Sciences, and Mother Tongue Languages, featuring structures refreshed occasionally in line with schooling criteria. Scoring depends on Achievement Levels ranging 1-8, such that the overall PSLE result is the sum of per-subject grades, impacting long-term educational prospects.. 'Range' is the simplest measure of dispersion, the gap between the highest and lowest values in a data set. Imagine a class of 40 students, where the top scorer got 100% and the lowest scored 50%. The range here is a comfortable 50 points. But remember, range is sensitive to outliers, much like how a single heavy downpour can drastically alter the average rainfall of the month.

Variance: The Average of Squared Deviations

Now, let's move on to 'variance'. Variance is like the chili padi in your favourite laksa - it adds a spicy kick to your understanding of data spread. It measures how far each data point deviates from the mean (average), then squares those deviations, and finally takes the average of those squared deviations. Why square? Because this step ensures that both positive and negative deviations contribute equally to the final value. For instance, in a set of exam scores, a deviation of -5 and +5 would both contribute 25 to the variance, making it a fair measure of spread.

Standard Deviation: Variance's Calmer Cousin

Meet standard deviation, variance's calmer cousin. While variance gives you the spread in squared terms, standard deviation brings it back to the original units of measurement, making it easier to understand. It's calculated as the square root of the variance. For example, if the variance of a set of test scores is 25, the standard deviation is 5. A standard deviation of 5 means that 68% of the scores lie within 5 marks of the mean, a useful fact to know when trying to predict your child's score in their next math test.

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Interquartile Range: The Middle 50%

The interquartile range (IQR) is like the hearty, filling rice in your meal - it's what's in the middle that counts. It's the range of the middle 50% of your data, calculated as the difference between the upper (75th) and lower (25th) quartiles. It's less affected by outliers than the range, making it a more stable measure of dispersion. In the context of Singapore's education system, understanding the IQR can help you gauge the spread of scores within the 'average' range, providing a more nuanced view of student performance.

Five Number Summary: The Data's ID Card

The five number summary - minimum, Q1, median, Q3, and maximum - is the data's ID card, providing a quick snapshot of its central tendency and dispersion. It's like a mini-story of your data: the minimum and maximum tell you the extremes, the median is the middle, and the quartiles (Q1 and Q3) tell you where the bulk of the data lies. For instance, in a set of exam scores, a five number summary of 30, 45, 50, 65, and 90 tells you that the lowest score was 30, the median was 50, and the highest was 90, with most scores falling between 45 and 65.

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Interquartile Range (IQR) and Box Plots

Unboxing Data: A Tale of IQR and Box Plots

Imagine you're a detective, Singapore's very own Secondary 2 math whizz, on the prowl for hidden patterns in a messy data scene. Your trusty tools? The Interquartile Range (IQR) and Box Plots, of course!

Fun Fact: A Trip Back in Time

Box plots, dear detectives, were first sketched out by a statistician named John W. Tukey in the 1970s. He was like the Sherlock Holmes of data, using these plots to visualise data distributions in a jiffy!

What's IQR got to do with it?

IQR, my friends, is the distance between the first quartile (25th percentile) and the third quartile (75th percentile). It's like the middle 50% of your data, giving you a glimpse into the data's symmetry and central tendency. Here's a simple breakdown:

  • Lower Quartile (Q1) - 25th percentile
  • Upper Quartile (Q3) - 75th percentile
  • IQR = Q3 - Q1

Box Plots: The Unsung Heroes of Data Visualisation

Box plots are like a mini-storybook of your data. They're easy to read and packed with info:

  • Box: Middle 50% (IQR)
  • Whiskers: Extend to minimum and maximum values, or 1.5 * IQR
  • Outliers: Data points beyond the whiskers

What if you could spot outliers, skewed data, or even bimodal data distribution with just a glance? That's the power of box plots, straight from the Ministry of Education's Secondary 2 math syllabus!

Putting it into Practice: Singapore's PSLE Scores

Let's say you're investigating Singapore's PSLE scores. With IQR and box plots, you can:

    In Singaporean demanding schooling structure, year three in primary signifies a key shift where students explore further in areas including multiplication facts, fraction concepts, and basic data interpretation, expanding upon earlier foundations to ready for higher-level analytical skills. Many guardians notice that classroom pacing by itself might not be enough for each student, encouraging them to look for extra support to cultivate mathematical curiosity and stop initial misunderstandings from developing. At this point, customized educational support becomes invaluable to sustain learning progress and promoting a positive learning attitude. jc math tuition singapore delivers concentrated, curriculum-aligned instruction using group sessions in small sizes or personalized tutoring, focusing on creative strategies and illustrative tools to clarify challenging concepts. Tutors often include gamified elements and ongoing evaluations to measure improvement and enhance drive. In the end, this proactive step also improves immediate performance but also lays a sturdy groundwork for excelling during upper primary years and the eventual PSLE..
  • Check if scores are symmetrically distributed (box is in the middle)
  • Spot any exceptionally high or low scores (outliers)
  • Identify if scores are evenly spread or clumped (width of the box)

So, are you ready to solve the mystery of Singapore's data landscape? Grab your IQR and box plots, and let's get started!

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Correlation and Regression

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Unlocking the Power of Numbers: A Singaporean Secondary 2's Journey into Correlation and Regression

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Imagine you're at your child's secondary 2 math class in Singapore. The teacher, Mr. Lim, is explaining the magic behind predicting things - not with a crystal ball, but with numbers! That's right, we're talking about correlation and regression, two powerful tools in the world of statistics that every secondary 2 student in Singapore is learning about, as outlined in the secondary 2 math syllabus.

What's the Scoop on Correlation?

Correlation is like the matchmaker of the math world. It helps us see if two variables are dancing together - in other words, if changes in one variable cause changes in the other. Picture two friends, Ah Boy and Mei Mei. Whenever Ah Boy eats more ice cream (variable A), Mei Mei seems to gain weight (variable B). But hold on, does eating ice cream really make Mei Mei gain weight, or is there more to the story?

That's where Pearson's correlation, named after the British statistician Karl Pearson, comes in. It's like a scorecard for Ah Boy and Mei Mei's relationship, giving us a number between -1 and 1. A score of 1 means they're best buddies - when one increases, the other always increases too. A score of -1 means they're sworn enemies - when one increases, the other always decreases. And a score of 0 means they're just acquaintances - changes in one have nothing to do with the other.

Regression: The Predictor Extraordinaire

Now, let's say Ah Boy wants to know how much weight Mei Mei will gain if he eats a certain amount of ice cream. In Singapore's performance-based schooling structure, Primary 4 acts as a key transition during which the curriculum intensifies with topics such as decimals, symmetrical shapes, and basic algebra, pushing students to apply reasoning through organized methods. Numerous households understand that classroom teachings on their own may not completely cover individual learning paces, leading to the search of additional resources to reinforce concepts and spark ongoing enthusiasm in math. As preparation for the PSLE builds momentum, consistent exercises is essential to mastering those core components minus stressing child learners. additional mathematics tuition delivers tailored , interactive coaching that follows Ministry of Education guidelines, including practical illustrations, brain teasers, and tech aids to make intangible notions tangible and fun. Qualified educators emphasize spotting weaknesses at an early stage and turning them into strengths via gradual instructions. In the long run, such commitment fosters tenacity, better grades, and a smooth progression toward higher primary years, setting students on a path to scholastic success.. That's where regression comes in. It's like a crystal ball that helps us predict the future (well, sort of) based on the patterns we've seen in the past. Simple linear regression is like a straight line that best fits the data points on a graph. It's the line that, when drawn, minimizes the difference between the actual data points and the predicted values.

Fun Fact: Did you know that the concept of regression was first introduced by Sir Francis Galton, a cousin of Charles Darwin, in the 1880s? He used it to study the relationship between the heights of parents and their children. Talk about a family affair!

But Wait, There's More: Statistics in Action

Correlation and regression are just the tip of the iceberg when it comes to statistics. In secondary 2 math, students in Singapore also get to explore other exciting topics like probability, data representation, and statistical distributions. It's like having a secret decoder ring to unlock the hidden messages in the world around us.

Interesting Fact: Did you know that Singapore ranked 7th in the world for math in the 2019 OECD PISA test? That's something to be proud of, and it's all thanks to the hard work of students and teachers, from Mr. Lim's secondary 2 class to the top researchers in our universities.

So, What's Next, Ah Boy?

Now that you've got a taste for correlation and regression, it's time to dive in and explore the world of statistics. Who knows, maybe Ah Boy will become the next Karl Pearson, revolutionizing the way we see the world with his insights. The future is looking bright, and it's filled with numbers, graphs, and maybe just a little bit of ice cream.

But remember, Ah Boy, correlation doesn't imply causation. Just because Mei Mei gains weight when you eat ice cream doesn't mean you're the reason she's putting on pounds. Keep asking questions, keep exploring, and who knows what you'll discover?

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Hypothesis Testing

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Embarking on the Data Detective Adventure: A Journey into Hypothesis Testing

Imagine you're in a bustling Singaporean coffee shop, the aroma of kopi-O filling the air. You're not just here for the caffeine, but to solve a mystery. Today, the mystery lies in the data. Welcome to the exciting world of hypothesis testing, a tool as essential to a data detective as a steaming cup of kopi is to a kopitiam regular!

**What's in Store for Secondary 2 Students?**

You might be wondering, "What's in my secondary 2 math syllabus, Singapore?" Well, hypothesis testing is a key component, and we're here to make sure you're ready to ace it!

Fun Fact: Did you know that the term 'hypothesis' comes from the Greek word 'hypothetikos', meaning 'able to think under'? Pretty apt for our data detective journey, isn't it?

**The Data Detective's Toolkit: Making Predictions with Data**

In the vast data jungle, our first tool is making predictions using data. It's like being a fortune teller, but with numbers instead of tea leaves. We use data to make educated guesses, or hypotheses, about what might happen in the future.

**The Double-Edged Sword: Types of Errors**

As Primary 5 introduces a heightened degree of difficulty within Singapore's maths program, with concepts such as ratios, percentage concepts, angle studies, and complex verbal questions requiring keener reasoning abilities, parents commonly seek methods to ensure their youngsters stay ahead without falling into frequent snares of misunderstanding. This stage is critical because it directly bridges to readying for PSLE, during which accumulated learning is tested rigorously, necessitating timely aid key in fostering resilience when handling layered problems. While tension mounting, specialized assistance aids in turning potential frustrations to avenues for advancement and proficiency. secondary 3 tuition provides students with strategic tools and customized coaching aligned to Singapore MOE guidelines, using techniques like diagrammatic modeling, bar charts, and timed exercises to explain intricate topics. Committed educators focus on understanding of ideas instead of memorization, fostering interactive discussions and error analysis to build assurance. At year's close, participants typically show notable enhancement for assessment preparedness, paving the way for a stress-free transition into Primary 6 and further amid Singapore's rigorous schooling environment..

Now, even the most skilled data detective can make mistakes. There are two types of errors we need to watch out for:

  • Type I Error: Rejecting a true hypothesis. It's like accusing an innocent person of a crime they didn't commit.
  • Type II Error: Failing to reject a false hypothesis. It's like letting a guilty person go free.

Interesting Fact: These errors are often represented by the Greek letters α (alpha) for Type I and β (beta) for Type II. Clever, huh?

**The Z-Test: Our Trusty Sidekick**

Meet our trusty sidekick, the Z-test. It's a statistical test that helps us make decisions about our hypotheses. The Z-test calculation involves a few steps, but don't worry, we'll guide you through it like a GPS navigating the labyrinthine streets of Little India.

History Lesson: The Z-test was developed by none other than Sir Ronald Fisher and William Sealy Gosset in the early 20th century. Gosset, who worked for Guinness, used the pseudonym 'Student' when publishing his work, leading to the term 'Student's t-distribution'. Cheers to that!

**Statistics: The Map to Our Treasure**

Statistics is our map, guiding us through the data wilderness. It helps us understand patterns, make predictions, and test hypotheses. In secondary 2 math, Singapore, you'll dive deep into statistics, so buckle up for an exciting ride!

What if? What if you could use statistics to predict the next big trend in hawker food? The possibilities are endless!

So, data detective, are you ready to don your thinking cap, grab your calculator, and embark on this adventure? The world of data is waiting, and with hypothesis testing, you'll be equipped to make sense of it all. Kan cheong or not, let's dive in!

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Accuracy Metrics in Statistics

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Measuring Up: Navigating the World of Statistical Accuracy

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Hold Onto Your Hats: A Real-World Dilemma

** Imagine you're a Singapore parent, helping your Secondary 2 child with their math homework. You're faced with a prediction problem, and you're both stumped. You've calculated the answer, but how accurate is it? This is where accuracy metrics come in, like trusty navigators guiding us through the statistical seas. So, let's dive in and learn about these trusty friends: Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and R-squared. Let's make learning about these as fun as a trip to Sentosa! **

Mean Absolute Error (MAE): The Friendly Neighbour

** Think of MAE as the friendly neighbour who always helps you find your lost cat. It measures the average magnitude of errors without considering their direction. In other words, it doesn't care if your prediction was too high or too low, it just wants to know how far off you were on average. **

Fun Fact

** Did you know that MAE is the most intuitive error metric for many people because it's easy to understand? It's like asking, "On average, how far off were my predictions?" **

Root Mean Square Error (RMSE): The Strict Teacher

** Now, think of RMSE as the strict teacher who wants you to pay extra attention to your mistakes. In the city-state of Singapore's high-stakes academic landscape, Primary 6 signifies the capstone year of primary education, during which pupils integrate years of learning in preparation for the vital PSLE exam, facing intensified topics like complex fractions, geometric demonstrations, problems involving speed and rates, and extensive study methods. Families frequently notice that the jump of challenge could result in worry or comprehension lapses, notably in mathematics, motivating the demand for expert guidance to polish competencies and test strategies. During this key period, where each point matters in securing secondary spots, additional courses become indispensable for focused strengthening and enhancing assurance. sec 1 tuition delivers intensive , centered on PSLE classes that align with the latest MOE syllabus, including simulated examinations, mistake-fixing sessions, and customizable pedagogy for tackling personal requirements. Skilled instructors emphasize effective time allocation and complex cognitive skills, assisting pupils tackle challenging queries with ease. In summary, such expert assistance also elevates achievements in the upcoming national exam but also cultivates focus and a enthusiasm toward maths extending through secondary schooling and further.. It squares the errors, takes the mean, and then finds the square root. This punishes larger errors more, making it a great choice when large errors are particularly costly, like predicting a hurricane's path. **

Interesting Fact

** RMSE is often preferred in regression analysis because it's more sensitive to outliers than MAE. It's like saying, "Oops, that one big error really messed things up!" **

R-squared: The Party Host

** R-squared, on the other hand, is like the party host, always trying to make everyone happy. It tells you what proportion of the variance in your dependent variable can be explained by your independent variable(s). In simple terms, it's like asking, "How well do my predictions explain the actual values?" **

History Lesson

** R-squared was introduced by the German mathematician Carl Friedrich Gauss in the 19th century. It's been partying ever since, helping us understand how well our statistical models are doing! **

Secondary 2 Math Syllabus Singapore: Where Do These Metrics Fit In?

** You might be wondering where these metrics fit into the Ministry of Education's Secondary 2 Math Syllabus. Well, they're part of the Statistics topic, specifically under 'Measures of Dispersion' and 'Correlation and Regression'. So, when you're tackling these sections with your child, you'll know exactly what you're looking at! **

What if... We Could Predict the Future?

** Imagine this: What if we could predict the future with perfect accuracy? No more surprises, no more unexpected rain showers ruining your BBQ plans. But wait, even the most accurate models can't predict the future perfectly. That's where these accuracy metrics come in, helping us understand how well our predictions are doing. **

Ready, Set, Calculate!

** So there you have it, folks! MAE, RMSE, and R-squared are your new best friends in the world of statistics. They might seem intimidating at first, but with a little practice, you'll be measuring accuracy like a pro. Now, go forth and conquer those math problems, Singapore!

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Frequently Asked Questions

MAPE is a measure of prediction error, expressed as a percentage of the actual values. Its useful when actual values are not zero and when you want to measure the size of the error relative to the actual value.
To calculate RMSE in Excel, first find the squared differences between actual and predicted values, then take the square root of the average of these differences.
MAE uses the absolute difference, while MSE uses the squared difference. MSE gives more weight to larger errors, making it sensitive to outliers.
R² represents the proportion of the variance in the dependent variable that is predictable from the independent variables. A higher R² indicates a better fit, but it doesnt indicate the direction or strength of the relationship.
R², also known as the coefficient of determination, measures how well a regression line fits the data. Its calculated as the square of the correlation coefficient (r) between the actual and predicted values.